Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 9.123395e-05 0.000108 0.000126 0.000147 0.000169 0.000193 0.000221
2024-12-29 6.919304e-05 0.000091 0.000116 0.000147 0.000182 0.000221 0.000268
2025-01-05 5.722932e-05 0.000081 0.000110 0.000147 0.000190 0.000239 0.000300
2025-01-12 4.473827e-05 0.000070 0.000101 0.000141 0.000191 0.000250 0.000324
2025-01-19 3.936032e-05 0.000065 0.000099 0.000145 0.000202 0.000271 0.000358
2025-01-26 3.102913e-05 0.000056 0.000091 0.000139 0.000201 0.000277 0.000375
2025-02-02 2.694371e-05 0.000052 0.000089 0.000140 0.000208 0.000293 0.000403
2025-02-09 2.252205e-05 0.000048 0.000084 0.000139 0.000212 0.000304 0.000426
2025-02-16 2.065044e-05 0.000046 0.000085 0.000144 0.000224 0.000326 0.000462
2025-02-23 1.800343e-05 0.000043 0.000083 0.000145 0.000231 0.000341 0.000489
2025-03-02 1.427135e-05 0.000038 0.000077 0.000139 0.000228 0.000344 0.000501
2025-03-09 1.161959e-05 0.000034 0.000073 0.000136 0.000228 0.000351 0.000518
2025-03-16 9.430454e-06 0.000031 0.000070 0.000136 0.000233 0.000364 0.000544
2025-03-23 7.917209e-06 0.000029 0.000069 0.000137 0.000241 0.000381 0.000577
2025-03-30 6.259151e-06 0.000026 0.000066 0.000136 0.000244 0.000392 0.000601
2025-04-06 4.570909e-06 0.000023 0.000061 0.000132 0.000243 0.000398 0.000618
2025-04-13 3.877412e-06 0.000021 0.000061 0.000135 0.000252 0.000417 0.000653
2025-04-20 2.638636e-06 0.000018 0.000056 0.000129 0.000248 0.000418 0.000664
2025-04-27 2.092407e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000130 0.000254 0.000434 0.000694
2025-05-04 1.524804e-06 0.000015 0.000053 0.000129 0.000257 0.000444 0.000717
2025-05-11 1.336436e-06 0.000015 0.000054 0.000134 0.000269 0.000467 0.000758
2025-05-18 1.033305e-06 0.000014 0.000053 0.000135 0.000276 0.000483 0.000789
2025-05-25 5.912752e-07 0.000012 0.000049 0.000130 0.000271 0.000483 0.000799